​Mark Carney’s Liberals Clinch Fourth Term Amid Nationalist Surge; Poilievre and Singh Face Political Reckonings

In a dramatic turn of events, Mark Carney’s Liberal Party has secured a fourth consecutive term in Canada’s 2025 federal election, capitalizing on a wave of nationalist sentiment spurred by U.S. President Donald Trump’s provocative rhetoric. The Liberals are projected to win 165 seats, falling short of the 172 needed for a majority in the 343-seat House of Commons.

Carney, a former central bank governor and political newcomer, assumed leadership of the Liberal Party in March 2025 following Justin Trudeau’s resignation. His campaign emphasized Canadian sovereignty and economic stability, resonating with voters concerned about Trump’s trade policies and comments suggesting Canada could become the 51st U.S. state.

Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, once leading the polls by a significant margin, suffered a significant setback, with the party projected to secure 151 seats. Poilievre’s alignment with Trumpian populism and his domestic focus failed to gain traction amid rising nationalist fervor.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) faced a dramatic decline, projected to win only 7 seats, down from 25 in the previous election. Leader Jagmeet Singh announced his resignation following the party’s poor performance.

The Bloc Québécois is projected to secure 23 seats, while the Green Party is expected to win 1 seat.

Carney’s victory underscores a shift in Canadian politics, with voters rallying around a leader perceived as capable of standing up to U.S. pressure and navigating economic challenges. As the Liberals prepare to form a minority government, potential alliances with other parties will be crucial to advancing their legislative agenda.​

The election results mark a significant moment in Canadian politics, reflecting the electorate’s desire for strong leadership in the face of external pressures and internal challenges.